Coronavirus Australia live update: Victoria reports six deaths and 532 Covid-19 cases and NSW 17 new cases

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Australia records highest daily one-day total of cases since start of pandemic, as Andrews announces 683 active cases linked to aged care in Victoria, and in Sydney the Thai Rock Wetherill Park cluster rises to 70. Follow latest updates

• How Australia’s health workers are getting Covid-19
• Victoria records 459 new coronavirus cases and 10 deaths
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Sutton said it was a “huge challenge” for public health staff to monitor more than 4,000 active coronavirus cases.

We know that people need to isolate and that those 4,000 cases represent at least as many close contacts.

There aren’t as many close contacts for each case now because people are staying home. It’s a great indication.

Sutton said it can take longer in a second wave to contain the outbreak, but that modelling produced for the health department suggests that today could be the peak of cases in Victoria.

Again, modelling with our effective reproductive number that I have seen most recently suggests that today should be the peak. Now I’m not going to sit back and say today is the peak. We have to see what happens in coming days. But driving that effective reproduction number down below one is the thing that will start to see numbers drop. And as numbers drop, outbreaks drop.

At the moment, I’m more concerned that we’ll probably see a rise in numbers because the outbreaks are really volatile in aged care settings. The numbers can increase very significantly in a very short period of time even as community transmission might becoming down. So, you know, it’s encouraging to sight that effective reproduction number come to one or just below one, but we have to keep at it every day.

It is causing an increase in hospitalisation of scores of people.

So that should be alarming to all of us and it should be something that we keep in our minds in terms of how we think about, you know, going about our daily lives, how we follow the rules.

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